Wild Card Weekend is arguably one of the best sports weekends of the year. With the playoffs adding one additional team from each conference, we get six games to enjoy and bet on.
We start the action on Saturday with two AFC contests, with each offering betting value. Let’s dig in to the first: Las Vegas vs. Cincinnati.
Las Vegas vs. Cincinnati Props
The first game of the weekend kicks off at 4:30 p.m. EST Saturday in Cincinnati. The over/under is set at 48 points, the third highest total of the wild-card slate.
The host Bengals are five-point favorites.
I see offensive advantages on both sides, with neither team sporting the best defense, so we’ll load up a prop bet for both teams.
Joe Mixon over 3.5 receptions (+130 on DraftKings)
Mixon has seen a steep uptick with his involvement in the passing game of late, hauling in 13 catches his last two games.
He’s caught all but one of his 14 targets and finished the past two with catch totals of six and seven.
Now he’ll get a Raiders defense that has been vulnerable to running back production in the passing game. Las Vegas has allowed the seventh-most receptions to RBs this season.
In their past nine games, the Raiders are allowing 6.67 catches per game to the position.
Mixon is also better against this prop at home, going over this number in four of his last six in Cincinnati.